{"id":173214,"date":"2024-02-21T09:53:08","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T17:53:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/?p=173214"},"modified":"2024-02-21T10:00:29","modified_gmt":"2024-02-21T18:00:29","slug":"under-lao-revenue-update-ca-budget-problem-could-reach-73-billion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/?p=173214","title":{"rendered":"Under LAO Revenue Update, CA Budget Problem Could Reach $73 Billion"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sacramento, CA…The state already faces a significant deficit this year\u2014we estimate it totaled $58\u00a0billion<\/a>\u00a0under the administration\u2019s revenue forecast at the time the Governor\u2019s budget was proposed in January. However,\u00a0recent revenue collections data<\/a>\u00a0reflect even further weakness relative to those estimates. Specifically, our forecast is about $24\u00a0billion below the Governor\u2019s budget across 2022\u201123 to 2024\u201125. All else equal, this means the budget problem is likely to be higher at the time of the May Revision. The actual increase in the state\u2019s budget problem will depend on a number of factors, including formula-driven spending changes, most notably Proposition\u00a098 spending requirements for schools and community colleges. (Due to specific circumstances this year, changes in revenues are unlikely to have a significant effect on the state\u2019s other major formula-driven spending requirements, specifically related to Proposition\u00a02.) Roughly, a $24\u00a0billion erosion in revenues corresponds to a $15\u00a0billion increase in the budget problem. This would expand the $58\u00a0billion estimated deficit to $73\u00a0billion under our updated revenue forecast.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Options to Address $15\u00a0Billion in Additional Budget Problem<\/p>\n

If the budget problem increases by $15\u00a0billion, the Legislature will need to find a like amount of new budget solutions to ensure the budget is balanced for 2024\u201125. Budget solutions include, for example: revenue increases and spending reductions (on both a one-time and ongoing basis), as well as other tools, like reserves and cost shifts. As the Legislature considers how to address this increased budget problem, we have put together a set of tables identifying one-time and temporary spending that could be pulled back or reduced in order to achieve budgetary savings. Below, we explain why we set forth these amounts as a possible first option to addressing a larger budget problem and then walk through our method for estimating the amounts potentially available in more detail.<\/p>\n

Why Reduce One-Time and Temporary Spending?<\/p>\n

The Legislature will weigh the implications of each possible solution\u2014including increasing revenues and spending reductions\u2014against others and, ultimately, choose a mix of solutions based on its priorities. We recommend the Legislature start by reviewing whether recent augmentations for one-time and temporary spending could be pulled back or reduced. We recommend this approach for two key reasons. First, when this one-time and temporary spending was adopted, it was understood that doing so would provide a cushion for future budget problems. For example, the administration frequently displayed \u201coperating surpluses\u201d in its multiyear forecasts\u00a0excluding\u00a0this type of spending\u2014implying that the administration understood that the state could not afford all of the commitments under its own projections, but the state could afford the ongoing budget.<\/p>\n

Second, the more the Legislature reduces one-time and temporary spending this year, the more other tools it can preserve for future budget problems. Reducing one-time and temporary spending is a \u201cuse or lose\u201d tool for addressing the budget problem\u2014once the funds are disbursed to recipients, pulling them back becomes practically impossible. Other tools, like reserve withdrawals and cost shifts, also can be used only once, but at any time. Saving them to deploy in the future can help the Legislature avoid cuts to ongoing services\u2014which involve very difficult decisions. For example, in the Great Recession, the programs with some of the largest expenditure reductions were in health and human services, including to Medi-Cal, which provides health coverage to low-income individuals and the California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) program, which provides income assistance to low-income individuals. Although the federal government has certain requirements for minimum state participation in these programs, California provides services well above these minimums. As a result, reductions tend to be concentrated in these areas because they are the ones where the state has the most flexibility to reduce spending without raising issues related to requirements imposed by courts, the voters, and the federal government. As such, maintaining other tools like reserves and cost shifts now could help mitigate reductions in these areas in the future.<\/p>\n

Options Possibly Available to Reduce One-Time and Temporary Spending<\/p>\n

State Allocated Large Shares of Surpluses to Temporary Purposes, Although Some Has Been Disbursed or Already Proposed for Reduction.\u00a0Recent budgets allocated tens of billions of dollars in surpluses to one-time and temporary spending, including in 2023\u201124, 2024\u201125, and 2025\u201126. Some spending, most notably for 2023\u201124, has already been disbursed or encumbered. This means, for example, that grants have been awarded, funds have been transferred to other entities of government, and contracts or leases have been signed. (In some cases, funds have also been committed for 2024\u201125 and 2025\u201126, for example, through grant awards.) In addition, the Governor has already proposed pulling back much\u2014but not all\u2014of the undisbursed spending associated with these augmentations.<\/p>\n

State Has Nearly $16\u00a0Billion in Recent One-Time and Temporary Spending That Could Possibly Still Be Pulled Back or Reduced.\u00a0After setting aside disbursements and Governor\u2019s budget proposals, we estimate the state possibly could pull back and reduce one-time and temporary augmentations by as much as $6.4\u00a0billion in 2023\u201124, $4.1\u00a0billion in 2024\u201125, and $5.1\u00a0billion in 2025\u201126. Figure\u00a01 shows the distribution of these amounts by program area, while the Appendix includes a complete list of them. These figures represent our current estimates of the amounts for which the Legislature has broad authority to make reductions, which could help the state address a larger budget problem in May. (In some cases, however, further disbursements could occur between now and May, such smaller amounts would be available for reduction at that time.)<\/p>\n

Figure 1<\/p>\n

Summary of Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Business and Labor<\/td>\n$266<\/td>\n$284<\/td>\n$198<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Criminal Justice<\/td>\n130<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Education<\/td>\n602<\/td>\n1,195<\/td>\n1,109<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Health and Human Services<\/td>\n867<\/td>\n301<\/td>\n701<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Housing and Homelessness<\/td>\n1,599<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n260<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Other<\/td>\n1,752<\/td>\n557<\/td>\n432<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Resources and Environment<\/td>\n1,049<\/td>\n1,005<\/td>\n1,377<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Transportation<\/td>\n146<\/td>\n739<\/td>\n1,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n$6,411<\/td>\n$4,121<\/td>\n$5,076<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

This Information Reflects Our Best Current Understanding.\u00a0While these estimates reflect the best information we have available, in many cases we do not have perfect information from the administration about the current status of funds. As such, we would view this list as a starting place for the Legislature as it begins crafting the final budget package. For any specific reductions, particularly in 2023\u201124, the Legislature could ask the administration for detailed and up-to-date information on disbursements and encumbrances.<\/p>\n

More Could Be Pulled Back From Earlier Years.\u00a0For the purposes of this analysis, we only reviewed disbursements and encumbrances authorized for 2023\u201124 and later. There is, however, additional spending attributable to 2022\u201123 and earlier that has not yet been disbursed. The Legislature could ask the administration to provide information about the amount of unspent funds from these earlier years.<\/p>\n

Appendix Tables<\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 1<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nBusiness and Labor<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EDD<\/td>\nNew IT\u00a0overhaul\u2014EDDNext<\/td>\n$99<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GO Biz<\/td>\nCalifornia Competes Grants<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCAI<\/td>\nHealth and home care workforce package<\/td>\n85<\/td>\n$259<\/td>\n$198<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCAI<\/td>\nBehavioral health workforce capacity<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCAI<\/td>\nVarious other health care workforce initiatives<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$266<\/td>\n$284<\/td>\n$198<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

EDD = Employment Development Department; IT = information technology; GO Biz = Governor\u2019s Office of Business and Economic Development; and HCAI\u00a0= Department of Health Care Access and Information.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 2<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nCriminal Justice<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BSCC<\/td>\nAdult Reentry Grant<\/td>\n$20<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDCR<\/td>\nExpansion of community reentry centers<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n$40<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDCR<\/td>\nVarious capital projects at San Quentin Rehabilitation Center<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OES<\/td>\nNonprofit Security Grant Program<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OES<\/td>\nFamily Justice Centers<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$130<\/td>\n$40<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

BSCC = Board of State and Community Corrections; CDCR = California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation; and OES = Governor\u2019s Office of Emergency Services.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 3<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nEducation<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CSAC<\/td>\nGolden State Teacher Grants<\/td>\n$91<\/td>\n$128<\/td>\n$1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CSU<\/td>\nCSU Dominguez Hills Dymally Institute facility<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DGS<\/td>\nState share for school construction projects<\/td>\n472<\/td>\n994<\/td>\n485<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DGS<\/td>\nConstruction and renovation of transitional kindergarten, State Preschool, and full\u2011day kindergarten facilities<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n550<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPR<\/td>\nCalifornia College Corps Program<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n73<\/td>\n73<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UC<\/td>\nCancer Research Relating to Firefighters<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UC<\/td>\nUC Berkeley School of Journalism Police Records Access Project<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UC<\/td>\nUC Los Angeles Ralph J. Bunche Center<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
UC<\/td>\nUC Davis Equine Performance and Rehabilitation Center<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$602<\/td>\n$1,195<\/td>\n1,109<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

CSAC = Student Aid Commission; DGS = Department of General Services; and OPR = Governor\u2019s Office of Planning and Research.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 4<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nHealth and Human Services<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalHHS<\/td>\nHealth innovation accelerator initiative<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n$43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDPH<\/td>\nCarryover from certain one\u2011time funds in previous years<\/td>\n$268<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDPH<\/td>\nCOVID\u201119 response<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDPH<\/td>\nPublic health IT systems<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDPH<\/td>\nPublic education and change campaign<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n$40<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Aging<\/td>\nModernizing the Older Californians Act<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DHCS<\/td>\nBehavioral Health Bridge Housing program<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n235<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DHCS<\/td>\nBehavioral Health Continuum Infrastructure Program<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n381<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DHCS<\/td>\nEvidence\u2011based and community\u2011defined behavioral health programs<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n109<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DSS<\/td>\nCalFresh minimum nutrition benefit pilot<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCAI<\/td>\nCarryover from certain one\u2011time funds in previous years<\/td>\n565<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$867<\/td>\n$301<\/td>\n$701<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

CalHHS = Health and Human Services Agency; CDPH = California Department of Public Health; Aging = Department of Aging; DHCS = Department of Health Care Services; DSS = Department of Social Services; and HCAI = Department of Health Care Access and Information.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 5<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nHousing and Homelessness<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BCH Agencya<\/td>\nHomeless Housing, Assistance, and Prevention Program (HHAPP)<\/td>\n$1,100<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n$260<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BCH Agency<\/td>\nEncampment Resolution Grants<\/td>\n299<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCD<\/td>\nPortfolio Reinvestment Program<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCD<\/td>\nMultifamily Housing Program<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
HCD<\/td>\nInfill Infrastructure Grant Program<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$1,599<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n$260<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
aBy the time the HHAPP costs are incurred, the program will have transferred to from BCSH Agency to HCD.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

BCH Agency Business, Consumer Services, and Housing Agency and HCD = Department of Housing and Community Development.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 6<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nOther<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CDT<\/td>\nBroadband\u00a0infrastructure\u2014increased\u00a0middle\u2011mile network costs<\/td>\n$420<\/td>\n$250<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CPUC<\/td>\nBroadband\u00a0infrastructure\u2014last\u2011mile projects<\/td>\n900<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n$200<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CPUC<\/td>\nBroadband\u00a0infrastructure\u2014Broadband\u00a0Loan Loss Reserve Fund<\/td>\n175<\/td>\n150<\/td>\n175<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GO\u2011Biz<\/td>\nFresno Infrastructure Plan<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPR<\/td>\nEstablish new office of public outreach<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SCO<\/td>\nCalifornia State Payroll System<\/td>\n147<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$1,752<\/td>\n$557<\/td>\n$432<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

CDT = California Department of Technology; CPUC = California Public Utilities Commission; GO\u2011Biz = Governor\u2019s Office of Business and Economic Development; OPR = Governor\u2019s Office of Planning and Research; and SCO = State Controller\u2019s Office.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

Appendix Figure 7<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nResources and Environment<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalEPA<\/td>\nEnvironmental Justice Initiative (Community Resilience Package)<\/td>\n$5<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalFire<\/td>\nPost\u2011fire reforestation and regeneration (Wildfire Resilience Package)<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalFire<\/td>\nEmergency surge (helitanker contract component)<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n$45<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalFire<\/td>\nForest Improvement Program (Wildfire Resilience Package)<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalFire<\/td>\nTribal engagement (Wildfire Resilience Package)<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CARB<\/td>\nFARMER program<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CARB<\/td>\nClean Cars 4 All (ZEV Package)<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CARB<\/td>\nAB 617 (Community Resilience Package)<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CARB<\/td>\nEquitable Building Decarbonization (Energy Package)<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CEC<\/td>\nClean Energy Reliability Investment Plan (SB 846)<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n400<\/td>\n$500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CEC<\/td>\nDistributed Electricity Backup Assets (Energy Package)<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CEC<\/td>\nDemand Side Grid Support (Energy Package)<\/td>\n95<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CEC<\/td>\nEquitable Building Decarbonization (Energy Package)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n92<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CNRA<\/td>\nWater resilience projects (Drought\u2011Water Resilience Package)<\/td>\n171<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CNRA<\/td>\nTribal nature\u2011based solutions program (Nature\u2011Based Solutions Package)<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CPUC<\/td>\nResidential Solar and Storage (Energy Package)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n100<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DTSC<\/td>\nBrownfield cleanups<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n85<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nFlood and dam safety (Drought\u2011Water Resilience Package)<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nOroville Pump Storage (Energy Package)<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nAmerican River flood project<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n27<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nUrban flood risk reduction<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nStrategic Reliability Assets (Energy Package)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
DWR<\/td>\nWater conveyance, water storage (Drought\u2011Water Resilience Package)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n500<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Go\u2011Biz or CNRA<\/td>\nDiablo Canyon land use planning<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
IBank<\/td>\nTransmission Financing (Energy Package)<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPC<\/td>\nOcean protection (Coastal Resilience Package)<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPC<\/td>\nCoastal resilience SB 1 implementation (Coastal Resilience Package)<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
OPR<\/td>\nCommunity\u2011Based Public Awareness Campaign (Extreme Heat Package)<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SWRCB<\/td>\nWater recycling, groundwater cleanup (Drought\u2011Water Resilience Package)<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SWRCB<\/td>\nDrinking water and wastewater projects (Drought\u2011Water Resilience)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n200<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Various<\/td>\nMisc Nature\u2011Based Solutions Package<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Various<\/td>\nMisc Wildfire Resilience Package<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WCB<\/td>\nProtect fish and wildlife from changing conditions (Nature\u2011Based Solutions)<\/td>\n49<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
WCB<\/td>\nVarious WCB programs (Nature\u2011Based Solutions Package)<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$1,049<\/td>\n$1,005<\/td>\n$1,377<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

CalEPA = California Environmental Protection Agency; CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CARB = California Air Resources Board; CEC = California Energy Commission; CNRA = California Natural Resources Agency; CPUC = California Public Utilities Commission; DTSC = Department of Toxics and Substances Control; DWR = Department of Water Resources; Go\u2011Biz = Governor\u2019s Office of Business and Economic Development; IBank =California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank; OPC = Ocean Protection Council; OPR = Governor\u2019s Office of Planning and Research; SWRCB = State Water Resources Control Board; and WCB\u00a0=\u00a0Wildlife Conservation Board.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
\n

Appendix Figure 8<\/p>\n

Possible Remaining One\u2011Time and Temporary Spending:
\nTransportation<\/p>\n

(In Millions)<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Department\/
\nProgram Area<\/td>\n		Description<\/td>\n2023\u201124<\/td>\n2024\u201125<\/td>\n2025\u201126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Caltrans<\/td>\nClean California<\/td>\n$146<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CalSTA<\/td>\nTransit and rail funding (Transportation Infrastructure)<\/td>\n\u2014<\/td>\n$739<\/td>\n$1,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Totals<\/td>\n<\/td>\n$146<\/td>\n$739<\/td>\n$1,000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Note: This table includes allocations from the 2021 and 2022 budget packages that remain after accounting for Governor\u2019s budget proposals and known disbursements and encumbrances, as of February 2024. In some cases our office does not have full information on disbursements from the administration, which means these estimates reflect our best understanding at this time.<\/p>\n

Note: Amounts reflect one\u2011time and temporary spending adopted in the 2021 and 2022 budget packages.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Caltrans = California Department of Transportation and CalSTA = California State Transportation Agency.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sacramento, CA…The state already faces a significant deficit this year\u2014we estimate it totaled $58\u00a0billion\u00a0under the administration\u2019s revenue forecast at the time the Governor\u2019s budget was proposed in January. However,\u00a0recent revenue collections data\u00a0reflect even further weakness relative to those estimates. Specifically, our forecast is about $24\u00a0billion below the Governor\u2019s budget across 2022\u201123 to 2024\u201125. All else […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":173215,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_cbd_carousel_blocks":"[]","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,5,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-173214","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-government","category-news","last_archivepost"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/California_Legislative_Analysts_Office_logo.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173214","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=173214"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173214\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":173219,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/173214\/revisions\/173219"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/173215"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=173214"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=173214"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=173214"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}