{"id":42659,"date":"2017-07-28T07:54:02","date_gmt":"2017-07-28T14:54:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/69.46.6.243\/?p=42659"},"modified":"2017-07-28T07:54:02","modified_gmt":"2017-07-28T14:54:02","slug":"gdp-rises-to-2-6-in-second-quarter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/?p=42659","title":{"rendered":"GDP Rises To 2.6% in Second Quarter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Washington, DC&#8230;Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the second quarter of 2017  (table 1), according to the &#8220;advance&#8221; estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.2 percent (revised).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"276\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-42660\" srcset=\"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart.jpg 640w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart-300x129.jpg 300w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart-570x246.jpg 570w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart-150x65.jpg 150w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart-500x216.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Bureau emphasized that the second-quarter advance estimate released today is based on source<br \/>\ndata that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (see \u201cSource Data for the<br \/>\nAdvance Estimate\u201d on page 3). The &#8220;second&#8221; estimate for the second quarter, based on more complete<br \/>\ndata, will be released on August 30, 2017.<\/p>\n<p>The increase in real GDP in the second quarter reflected positive contributions from personal<br \/>\nconsumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential fixed investment, exports, and federal government<br \/>\nspending that were partly offset by negative contributions from private residential fixed investment,<br \/>\nprivate inventory investment, and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a<br \/>\nsubtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased (table 2).<\/p>\n<p>Real GDP: Percent Change from Preceding Quarter<\/p>\n<p>Box___<\/p>\n<p>                       Annual Update of the National Income and Product Accounts<\/p>\n<p>The estimates released today reflect the results of the annual update of the national income and<br \/>\nproduct accounts (NIPAs) in conjunction with the &#8220;advance&#8221; estimate of GDP for the second quarter of<br \/>\n2017. The update covers the first quarter of 2014 through the first quarter of 2017. For more<br \/>\ninformation, see information on the &#8220;2017 Annual Update&#8221; on BEA\u2019s Web site. Additionally, the August<br \/>\nSurvey of Current Business will contain an article that describes the results in detail.<\/p>\n<p>______<\/p>\n<p>The acceleration in real GDP growth in the second quarter reflected a smaller decrease in private<br \/>\ninventory investment, an acceleration in PCE, and an upturn in federal government spending. These<br \/>\nmovements were partly offset by a downturn in residential fixed investment and decelerations in<br \/>\nexports and in nonresidential fixed investment.<\/p>\n<p>Current-dollar GDP increased 3.6 percent, or $169.0 billion, in the second quarter to a level of $19,226.7<br \/>\nbillion. In the first quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 3.3 percent (revised), or $152.2 billion (table 1<br \/>\nand table 3).<\/p>\n<p>The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 0.8 percent in the second quarter, compared<br \/>\nwith an increase of 2.6 percent in the first quarter (revised) (table 4). The PCE price index increased 0.3<br \/>\npercent, compared with an increase of 2.2 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price<br \/>\nindex increased 0.9 percent, compared with an increase of 1.8 percent (appendix table A).<\/p>\n<p>Personal Income (table 10)<\/p>\n<p>Current-dollar personal income increased $118.9 billion in the second quarter, compared with an<br \/>\nincrease of $217.6 billion in the first quarter (revised). The deceleration in personal income primarily<br \/>\nreflected decelerations in wages and salaries, in government social benefits, in nonfarm proprietors\u2019<br \/>\nincome, and in rental income, and downturns in personal interest income and in farm proprietors\u2019<br \/>\nincome. These movements were offset by an upturn in personal dividend income.<\/p>\n<p>Disposable personal income increased $122.1 billion, or 3.5 percent, in the second quarter, compared<br \/>\nwith an increase of $176.3 billion, or 5.1 percent, in the first quarter (revised). Real disposable personal<br \/>\nincome increased 3.2 percent, compared with an increase of 2.8 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Personal saving was $546.8 billion in the second quarter, compared with $553.0 billion in the first<br \/>\nquarter (revised). The personal saving rate &#8212; personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal<br \/>\nincome &#8212; was 3.8 percent in the second quarter, compared with 3.9 percent in the first.<\/p>\n<p>Source Data for the Advance Estimate<\/p>\n<p>Information on the source data in the advance estimate is provided in a Technical Note that is posted<br \/>\nwith the news release on BEA\u2019s Web site. A detailed &#8220;Key Source Data and Assumptions&#8221; file is also<br \/>\nposted for each release. For information on updates to GDP, see the \u201cAdditional Information\u201d section<br \/>\nthat follows.<\/p>\n<p>                    Annual Update of the National Income and Product Accounts<\/p>\n<p>Updated estimates of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), which are usually made each<br \/>\nJuly, incorporate newly available and more comprehensive source data, as well as improved estimation<br \/>\nmethodologies. This year, the notable revisions primarily reflect the incorporation of newly available<br \/>\nand revised source data. The timespan of the revisions is the first quarter of 2014 through the first<br \/>\nquarter of 2017. The reference year remains 2009.<\/p>\n<p>With the release of the updated statistics, select NIPA tables will be available on BEA\u2019s Web site<br \/>\n(www.bea.gov).  Shortly after the GDP release, BEA will post a table on its Web site showing the major<br \/>\ncurrent-dollar revisions and their sources for each component of GDP, national income, and personal<br \/>\nincome.  Additionally, the August 2017 Survey of Current Business will contain an article describing these<br \/>\nrevisions.<\/p>\n<p>Updates for the first quarter of 2017<\/p>\n<p>For the first quarter of 2017, real GDP is now estimated to have increased 1.2 percent; in the previously<br \/>\npublished estimates, first-quarter GDP was estimated to have increased 1.4 percent. The 0.2-percentage<br \/>\npoint downward revision to the percent change in first-quarter real GDP reflected downward revisions<br \/>\nto nonresidential fixed investment, to private inventory investment, to residential fixed investment, and<br \/>\nto federal government spending, and an upward revision to imports. These movements were partly<br \/>\noffset by upward revisions to PCE, to state and local government spending, and to exports.<\/p>\n<p>Real GDI is now estimated to have increased 2.6 percent in the first quarter; in the previously published<br \/>\nestimates, first-quarter GDI was estimated to have increased 1.0 percent.<\/p>\n<p>                                                              First Quarter 2017<\/p>\n<p>                                                     Previous Estimate       Revised<\/p>\n<p>                                                  (Percent change from preceding quarter)<br \/>\nReal GDP                                                   1.4                 1.2<br \/>\nCurrent-dollar GDP                                         3.4                 3.6<br \/>\nReal GDI                                                   1.0                 2.6<br \/>\nAverage of GDP and GDI                                     1.2                 1.9<br \/>\nGross domestic purchases price index                       2.5                 2.6<br \/>\nPCE price index                                            2.4                 2.2<\/p>\n<p>Real GDP (Tables 1A, 1B, and 2A)<\/p>\n<p>The updated statistics largely reflect the incorporation of newly available and revised source data (see<br \/>\nthe box below) and improvements to existing methodologies.<\/p>\n<p>*\tFrom 2013 to 2016, real GDP increased at an average annual rate of 2.3 percent; in the<br \/>\n        previously published estimates, real GDP had increased at an average annual rate of 2.2 percent.<br \/>\n        From the fourth quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of 2017, real GDP increased at an average<br \/>\n        annual rate of 2.1 percent, the same as previously published.<\/p>\n<p>Real GDP: Percent Change from Preceding Quarter<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe percent change in real GDP was revised up 0.2 percentage point for 2014, was revised up<br \/>\n        0.3 percentage point for 2015, and was revised down 0.1 percentage point for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2014, upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, inventory investment,<br \/>\n            and state and local government spending were partly offset by an upward revision to<br \/>\n            imports.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2015, upward revisions to personal consumption expenditures (PCE), inventory<br \/>\n            investment, exports, and nonresidential fixed investment were partly offset by<br \/>\n            downward revisions to state and local government spending and to residential fixed<br \/>\n            investment, and by an upward revision to imports.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2016, downward revisions to exports, federal government spending, and inventory<br \/>\n            investment were partly offset by an upward revision to state and local government<br \/>\n            spending.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe revisions to the annual estimates typically reflect partly offsetting revisions to the quarters<br \/>\n        within the year.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2014, the annual rate of change in GDP was revised up 0.3 percentage point for the<br \/>\n            first quarter, 0.6 percentage point for the second quarter, and 0.2 percentage point for<br \/>\n            the third quarter; these upward revisions were partly offset by a downward revision of<br \/>\n            0.3 percentage point for the fourth quarter.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2015, upward revisions of 1.2 percentage points for the first quarter and 0.1<br \/>\n            percentage point for the second quarter were partly offset by downward revisions of 0.4<br \/>\n            percentage point for both the third and fourth quarters.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2016, downward revisions of 0.2 percentage point for the first quarter, 0.7<br \/>\n            percentage point for the third quarter, and 0.3 percentage point for the fourth quarter<br \/>\n            were partly offset by an upward revision of 0.8 percentage point for the second quarter.<\/p>\n<p>*\tFor the first quarter of 2014 through the first quarter of 2017, the average revision (without<br \/>\n        regard to sign) in the percent change in real GDP was 0.4 percentage point.  The revisions did<br \/>\n        not change the direction of the change in real GDP (increase or decrease) for any of the<br \/>\n        quarters.<\/p>\n<p>*\tFor the period of economic expansion from the second quarter of 2009 to the first quarter of<br \/>\n        2017, real GDP increased at an average annual rate of 2.1 percent, the same as previously<br \/>\n        published.<\/p>\n<p>*\tCurrent-dollar GDP was revised up for all three years: $34.5 billion, or 0.2 percent, for 2014;<br \/>\n        $84.1 billion, or 0.5 percent, for 2015; and $55.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Gross domestic income (GDI) and the statistical discrepancy (Tables 1A and 1B)<\/p>\n<p>*\tFrom 2013 to 2016 real GDI increased at an average annual rate of 2.3 percent, unrevised from<br \/>\n        the previous estimate.  From the fourth quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of 2017, real GDI<br \/>\n        increased at an average annual rate of 2.2 percent; in the previously published estimates, real<br \/>\n        GDI increased at an average annual rate of 2.1 percent.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe statistical discrepancy is current-dollar GDP less current-dollar GDI.  GDP measures final<br \/>\n        expenditures &#8212; the sum of consumer spending, private investment, net exports, and<br \/>\n        government spending.  GDI measures the incomes earned in the production of GDP.  In concept,<br \/>\n        GDP is equal to GDI.  In practice, they differ because they are estimated using different source<br \/>\n        data and different methods.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe statistical discrepancy as a percentage of GDP was revised up from -1.5 percent to -1.3<br \/>\n        percent for 2014, was unrevised at -1.4 percent for 2015, and was revised up from -1.3 percent<br \/>\n        to -0.8 percent for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe average of GDP and GDI is a supplemental measure of U.S. economic activity. In real, or<br \/>\n        inflation-adjusted, terms this measure increased at an average annual rate of 2.3 percent from<br \/>\n        2013 to 2016, the same as previously published.<\/p>\n<p>Price measures (Table 4A)<\/p>\n<p>*\tGross domestic purchases &#8211; From the fourth quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of 2017, the<br \/>\n        average annual rate of increase in the price index for gross domestic purchases was 1.2 percent,<br \/>\n        the same as previously published.<\/p>\n<p>*\tPersonal consumption expenditures &#8211; From the fourth quarter of 2013 to the first quarter of<br \/>\n        2017, the average annual rate of increase in the price index for PCE was 1.2 percent, 0.1<br \/>\n        percentage point higher than the previously published estimates. The increase in the \u201ccore\u201d PCE<br \/>\n        price index, which excludes food and energy, was 1.6 percent, the same as previously published.<\/p>\n<p>Income and saving measures (Table 1B)<\/p>\n<p>*\tNational income was revised down $9.9 billion, or 0.1 percent, for 2014, was revised up $74.3<br \/>\n        billion, or 0.5 percent, for 2015, and was revised down $50.0 billion, or 0.3 percent, for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2014, downward revisions to proprietors\u2019 income and corporate profits were partly<br \/>\n            offset by upward revisions to taxes on production and imports and rental income of<br \/>\n            persons.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2015, upward revisions to net interest, corporate profits, taxes on production and<br \/>\n            imports, and supplements to wages and salaries were partly offset by a downward<br \/>\n            revision to proprietors\u2019 income.<\/p>\n<p>    o       For 2016, downward revisions to wages and salaries, proprietors\u2019 income, supplements<br \/>\n            to wages and salaries, and corporate profits were partly offset by upward revisions to<br \/>\n            net interest, taxes on production and imports, and the current surplus of government<br \/>\n            enterprises.<\/p>\n<p>*\tCorporate profits was revised down $11.5 billion, or -0.5 percent, for 2014, was revised up $29.4<br \/>\n        billion, or 1.4 percent, for 2015, and was revised down $12.4 billion, or 0.6 percent, for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>*\tPersonal income was revised up $8.5 billion, or 0.1 percent, for 2014, was revised up $94.5<br \/>\n        billion, or 0.6 percent, for 2015, and was revised down $58.0 billion, or 0.4 percent, for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>*\tFrom 2013 to 2016, the average annual rate of growth of real disposable personal income was<br \/>\n        revised down 0.2 percentage point from 3.2 percent to 3.0 percent.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe personal saving rate (personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income) was<br \/>\n        revised up from 5.6 percent to 5.7 percent for 2014, was revised up from 5.8 percent to 6.1<br \/>\n        percent for 2015, and was revised down from 5.7 percent to 4.9 percent for 2016.<\/p>\n<p>New and revised source data<\/p>\n<p>The updated statistics incorporated data from the following major federal statistical sources:<\/p>\n<p>Agency                                      Data                                     Years Covered and Vintage<\/p>\n<p>Census Bureau                       Annual surveys of wholesale trade               2014 (revised), 2015 (new)<br \/>\n                                    Annual surveys of retail trade                  2014 (revised), 2015 (new)<br \/>\n                                    Annual survey of manufactures                   2014 (revised), 2015 (new)<br \/>\n                                    Monthly indicators of manufactures,<br \/>\n                                      merchant wholesale trade, and retail trade    2014\u20132016 (revised)<br \/>\n                                    Service annual survey                           2014 and 2015 (revised), 2016 (new)<br \/>\n                                    Annual surveys of state and local<br \/>\n                                    government finances                             Fiscal year (FY) 2014 (revised), FY 2015 (new)<\/p>\n<p>                                    Monthly survey of construction spending<br \/>\n                                      (value put in place)                          2014\u20132016 (revised)<br \/>\n                                    Quarterly services survey                       2014\u20132016 (revised)<br \/>\n                                    Current population survey\/housing vacancy<br \/>\n                                      survey                                        2014 and 2015 (revised), 2016 (new)<\/p>\n<p>Office of Management<br \/>\n  and Budget                        Federal Budget                                  Fiscal years 2016 and 2017<\/p>\n<p>Internal Revenue Service            Tabulations of tax returns for corporations     2014 (revised), 2015 (new)<br \/>\n                                    Tabulations of tax returns for sole<br \/>\n                                      proprietorships and partnerships              2015 (new)<\/p>\n<p>BLS                                 Quarterly census of employment and wages        2014\u20132016 ( revised)<br \/>\n                                    Survey of occupational employment               2016 (new)<\/p>\n<p>Department of<br \/>\nAgriculture                         Farm statistics                                 2014\u20132016 (revised)<\/p>\n<p>BEA                                 International transactions accounts             2014-2016 (revised)<\/p>\n<p>Changes in methodology and presentation<\/p>\n<p>The annual update also incorporated improvements to estimating methodologies and to the<br \/>\npresentation of the NIPA estimates, including the following:<\/p>\n<p>*\tEstimates for consumer spending incorporated improved allocations of industry-based retail<br \/>\n        sales to consumer goods, including increased use of retail scanner data and the Census Bureau\u2019s<br \/>\n        E-Commerce Report.<\/p>\n<p>*\tThe price index used to deflate fixed investment in prepackaged software is now based on a<br \/>\n        more representative Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index (PPI). In the previously<br \/>\n        published estimates, the BEA price for prepackaged software was based on the PPI for<br \/>\n        \u201cApplication software publishing.\u201d Beginning with this annual update, BEA will use the PPI for<br \/>\n        \u201cSoftware publishing, except games\u201d that includes both applications and systems software<br \/>\n        publishing.<\/p>\n<p>*\tPublication of key source data and assumptions that are used to estimate quarterly GDP is<br \/>\n        updated and accelerated. Beginning with this annual update, BEA will post this information with<br \/>\n        each GDP release. (Previously, BEA released this information after the monthly personal income<br \/>\n        and outlays release, usually the business day following the GDP release.) Certain monthly data<br \/>\n        will continue to be released with the monthly personal income and outlays release. Because<br \/>\n        quarterly key source data and assumptions will now be available on the day of the GDP release,<br \/>\n        BEA will no longer publish Technical Note Table A.<\/p>\n<p>                                          *          *          *<\/p>\n<p>                               Next release:  August 30, 2017 at 8:30 A.M. EDT<br \/>\n                         Gross Domestic Product:  Second Quarter 2017 (Second Estimate)<br \/>\n                         Corporate Profits:  Second Quarter 2017 (Preliminary Estimate)<\/p>\n<p>                                          *          *          *<\/p>\n<p>                                         Additional Information<\/p>\n<p>Resources<\/p>\n<p>Additional resources available at www.bea.gov:<br \/>\n\u2022\tStay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA\u2019s email<br \/>\n        subscription service, or following BEA on Twitter @BEA_News.<br \/>\n\u2022\tHistorical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA\u2019s Interactive Data Application.<br \/>\n\u2022\tAccess BEA data by registering for BEA\u2019s Data Application Programming Interface (API).<br \/>\n\u2022\tFor more on BEA\u2019s statistics, see our monthly online journal, the Survey of Current Business.<br \/>\n\u2022\tBEA&#8217;s news release schedule<br \/>\n\u2022\tNIPA Handbook:  Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts<\/p>\n<p>Definitions<\/p>\n<p>Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation\u2019s economy<br \/>\nless the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal<br \/>\nconsumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and<br \/>\ngovernment consumption expenditures and gross investment.<\/p>\n<p>Gross domestic income (GDI) is the sum of incomes earned and costs incurred in the production of GDP.<br \/>\nIn national economic accounting, GDP and GDI are conceptually equal. In practice, GDP and GDI differ<br \/>\nbecause they are constructed using largely independent source data. Real GDI is calculated by deflating<br \/>\ngross domestic income using the GDP price index as the deflator, and is therefore conceptually<br \/>\nequivalent to real GDP.<\/p>\n<p>Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred\u2014that is,<br \/>\nat \u201cmarket value.\u201d Also referred to as \u201cnominal estimates\u201d or as \u201ccurrent-price estimates.\u201d<br \/>\nReal values are inflation-adjusted estimates\u2014that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes.<br \/>\nThe gross domestic purchases price index measures the prices of final goods and services purchased by<br \/>\nU.S. residents.<\/p>\n<p>The personal consumption expenditure price index measures the prices paid for the goods and services<br \/>\npurchased by, or on the behalf of, \u201cpersons.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources:  from<br \/>\nparticipation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of<br \/>\nfinancial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from<br \/>\ndomestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or<br \/>\nlosses.<\/p>\n<p>Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to<br \/>\npersonal income less personal current taxes.<\/p>\n<p>Personal outlays is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments, and<br \/>\npersonal current transfer payments.<\/p>\n<p>Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes.<br \/>\nThe personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. (For a<br \/>\ncomparison of personal saving in BEA&#8217;s national income and product accounts (NIPAs) with personal<br \/>\nsaving in the Federal Reserve Board&#8217;s financial accounts of the United States, go to<br \/>\nwww.bea.gov\/national\/nipaweb\/nipa-frb.asp.<\/p>\n<p>Profits from current production, referred to as corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment<br \/>\n(IVA) and capital consumption adjustment (CCAdj) in the NIPAs, is a measure of the net income of<br \/>\ncorporations before deducting income taxes that is consistent with the value of goods and services<br \/>\nmeasured in GDP. The IVA and CCAdj are adjustments that convert inventory withdrawals and<br \/>\ndepreciation of fixed assets reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost economic<br \/>\nmeasures used in the national income and product accounts.<\/p>\n<p>For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts.<\/p>\n<p>Statistical conventions<\/p>\n<p>Annual rates. Quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR), unless<br \/>\notherwise specified. Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For<br \/>\ndetail, see the FAQ \u201cWhy does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Percent changes in quarterly series are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual<br \/>\nrates, unless otherwise specified. For details, see the FAQ \u201cHow is average annual growth calculated?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Quantities and prices. Quantities, or \u201creal\u201d volume measures, and prices are expressed as index<br \/>\nnumbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2009). Quantity and price indexes are<br \/>\ncalculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent<br \/>\nperiods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). \u201cReal\u201d dollar series are calculated by<br \/>\nmultiplying the published quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2009) and<br \/>\nthen dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels<br \/>\nare conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding.<\/p>\n<p>Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those<br \/>\nof the reference year. In tables that display chained-dollar values, a \u201cresidual\u201d line shows the difference<br \/>\nbetween the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate.<\/p>\n<p>Updates to GDP<\/p>\n<p>BEA releases three vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP:  &#8220;Advance&#8221; estimates are<br \/>\nreleased near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data<br \/>\nthat are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency; \u201csecond\u201d and \u201cthird\u201d estimates<br \/>\nare released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed<br \/>\nand more comprehensive data as they become available.<\/p>\n<p>Annual and comprehensive updates are typically released in late July. Annual updates generally cover at<br \/>\nleast the 3 most recent calendar years (and their associated quarters) and incorporate newly available<br \/>\nmajor annual source data as well as some changes in methods and definitions to improve the accounts.<br \/>\nComprehensive (or benchmark) updates are carried out at about 5-year intervals and incorporate major<br \/>\nperiodic source data, as well as major conceptual improvements.<br \/>\nThe table below shows the average revisions to the quarterly percent changes in real GDP between<br \/>\ndifferent estimate vintages, without regard to sign.<\/p>\n<p>Vintage                               Average Revision Without Regard to Sign<br \/>\n                                         (percentage points, annual rates)<br \/>\nAdvance to second                                     0.5<br \/>\nAdvance to third                                      0.6<br \/>\nSecond to third                                       0.2<br \/>\nAdvance to latest                                     1.2<br \/>\nNote &#8211; Based on estimates from 1993 through 2014. For more information on GDP updates, see Revision<br \/>\nInformation on the BEA Web site.<\/p>\n<p>The larger average revision from the advance to the latest estimate reflects the fact that periodic<br \/>\ncomprehensive updates include major statistical and methodological improvements.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike GDP, an advance current quarterly estimate of GDI is not released because data on domestic<br \/>\nprofits and on net interest of domestic industries are not available. For fourth quarter estimates, these<br \/>\ndata are not available until the third estimate.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Washington, DC&#8230;Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the second quarter of 2017 (table 1), according to the &#8220;advance&#8221; estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.2 percent (revised). The Bureau emphasized that the second-quarter advance estimate released today is based [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":42660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_cbd_carousel_blocks":"[]","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,20,149,5,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42659","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-featured","category-financial","category-government","category-news","last_archivepost"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/07\/gdp2q17_adv_chart.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42659","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42659"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42659\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/42660"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42659"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42659"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42659"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}