{"id":9722,"date":"2015-09-03T11:09:19","date_gmt":"2015-09-03T18:09:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/69.46.6.243\/?p=9722"},"modified":"2015-09-03T11:09:19","modified_gmt":"2015-09-03T18:09:19","slug":"trump-tops-all-but-carson-head-to-head-in-latest-monmouth-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/?p=9722","title":{"rendered":"Trump Tops All But Carson Head-to-Head In Latest Monmouth Poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>West Long Branch, NJ&#8230;Donald Trump has increased his GOP vote share since last month\u2019s debate. The latest Monmouth University Poll of Republican voters nationwide also finds Ben Carson moving into second place, Jeb Bush slipping to third, and Scott Walker fading into the background. The poll also tested Trump directly against nine opponents in head-to-head match-ups and found that only Carson is able to get the better of him.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/MUP92_1.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus.jpg\" alt=\"slider-homepage-coastal-campus\" width=\"640\" height=\"361\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9725\" srcset=\"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus.jpg 640w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus-123x70.jpg 123w, https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus-570x322.jpg 570w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nClick Above For Complete Poll Results<\/p>\n<p>When Republicans and Republican-leaning voters are asked who they would support for the GOP<br \/>\nnomination for president, Donald Trump leads the pack at 30%, which is up 4 points from early August<br \/>\nbefore the first debate. Ben Carson (18%) has increased his vote share by 13 points and now holds<br \/>\nsecond place. Jeb Bush (8%) has dropped by 4 points and now stands in a tie for third with Ted Cruz<br \/>\n(8%). Following behind are Marco Rubio (5%), Carly Fiorina (4%), and Mike Huckabee (4%).<\/p>\n<p>Scott Walker (3%), who held third place in Monmouth\u2019s August poll, has dropped 8 points since<br \/>\nthen. Chris Christie, John Kasich, and Rand Paul each get 2%. The remaining six candidates included in<br \/>\nthe poll score no higher than 1% each.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNone of the establishment candidates is having any success in getting an anti-Trump vote to<br \/>\ncoalesce around them. In fact, any attempt to take on Trump directly only seems to make him stronger,\u201d<br \/>\nsaid Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long<br \/>\nBranch, NJ.<\/p>\n<p>The Monmouth University Poll tested the strength of Donald Trump\u2019s support by presenting<br \/>\nRepublican voters with nine hypothetical head-to-head match-ups. Trump tops the field in all but one of<br \/>\nthose contests. If it came down to just two candidates, Trump beats the putative establishment favorite<br \/>\nJeb Bush by a 56% to 37% margin. Trump also gets the better of Chris Christie (63% to 30%), John<br \/>\nKasich (62% to 29%), Rand Paul (60% to 27%), Scott Walker (53% to 38%), Marco Rubio (52% to 38%), Carly Fiorina (50% to 37%), and Ted Cruz (48% to 41%). The only candidate who is able to take<br \/>\non The Donald and win is Ben Carson, who gets 55% support to 36% for Trump in a hypothetical match-<br \/>\nup.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe fact that the only one who can challenge Trump is the only other candidate who has never<br \/>\nheld or run for elected office speaks volumes to the low regard GOP voters have for the establishment,\u201d<br \/>\nsaid Murray.<\/p>\n<p>By a more than 2-to-1 margin, Republican voters nationwide say the country needs a president<br \/>\nfrom outside government who can bring a new approach to Washington (67%) rather than someone with<br \/>\ngovernment experience who knows how to get things done (26%).<\/p>\n<p>Murray added, \u201cConservative activists believe the Republican Party has abandoned its<br \/>\nprinciples. Moderates feel their leadership is ineffective. So Republican voters have created their<br \/>\nown job description for the next nominee &#8211; Wanted: Someone who can shake up Washington; No elected<br \/>\nofficials need apply.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As with Monmouth\u2019s August poll, Trump continues to dominate all Republican demographic<br \/>\ngroups in voter support, with Ben Carson now placing second in most cases:<br \/>\n\uf0b7  Ideology \u2013 Trump (28%), Carson (20%), and Cruz (17%) are the top vote getters among<br \/>\nvery conservative voters; Trump (29%) leads Carson (21%) among somewhat<br \/>\nconservative voters; and Trump (34%) has a commanding edge over Carson (14%) and<br \/>\nBush (11%) among moderate to liberal voters.<br \/>\n\uf0b7  Tea Party \u2013 Tea Party supporters back Trump (36%) by a wide margin over Carson<br \/>\n(19%) and Cruz (15%). Non-Tea Party supporters give Trump (28%) a narrower edge<br \/>\nover Carson (17%).<br \/>\n\uf0b7  Age \u2013 Trump (34%) has a clear lead over Carson (17%) among voters under age 50 as<br \/>\nwell as an advantage (28%) over Carson (18%), Cruz (11%), and Bush (10%) among<br \/>\nthose age 50 and older.<br \/>\n\uf0b7  Gender \u2013 Trump holds a wide lead over Carson among men (37% to 18%) and a smaller<br \/>\nlead among women (23% to 18%).<\/p>\n<p>The Monmouth University Poll also found that GOP voter opinion of Donald Trump has ticked<br \/>\nup another notch in the past month. It now stands at 59% favorable to 29% unfavorable. It was 52%<br \/>\nfavorable to 35% unfavorable four weeks ago, and as recently as June, it stood at a significantly negative<br \/>\n20% favorable to 55% unfavorable.<\/p>\n<p>Ben Carson\u2019s rating has also gone up, now standing at 67% favorable to 6% unfavorable,<br \/>\ncompared with 45% to 10% just before the first debate. Carly Fiorina, who received positive reviews for<br \/>\nher performance in the \u201cHappy Hour\u201d debate \u2013 and is on track to be added to the main stage for this<br \/>\nmonth\u2019s debate \u2013 also saw her numbers go up. She now has a 43% favorable to 13% unfavorable rating,<br \/>\ncompared with 30% to 11% last month. However, 43% of Republican voters nationwide still have no<br \/>\nopinion of her<\/p>\n<p>John Kasich, who just made it onto the main debate stage last month, has not seen his national<br \/>\nnumbers move much at all. He gets a 23% favorable to 18% unfavorable rating, which is slightly lower<br \/>\nthan the 27% to 14% rating he earned in August. Nearly 6-in-10 (59%) GOP voters continue to have no<br \/>\nopinion of him.<\/p>\n<p>Both Jeb Bush and Scott Walker have seen their personal ratings decline in the past month.<br \/>\nRepublican voter opinion of Bush now stands at 41% favorable to 39% unfavorable, compared with 52%<br \/>\nto 30% last month. Walker\u2019s rating is 42% favorable to 15% unfavorable, compared with 50% to 10%<br \/>\nlast month.<\/p>\n<p>The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from August 31 to September 2,<br \/>\n2015 with 1,009 adults in the United States. This release is based on a sample of 366 registered voters<br \/>\nwho identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party. This voter sample has a<br \/>\nmargin of error of +5.1 percent. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in<br \/>\nWest Long Branch, NJ.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>West Long Branch, NJ&#8230;Donald Trump has increased his GOP vote share since last month\u2019s debate. The latest Monmouth University Poll of Republican voters nationwide also finds Ben Carson moving into second place, Jeb Bush slipping to third, and Scott Walker fading into the background. The poll also tested Trump directly against nine opponents in head-to-head [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_cbd_carousel_blocks":"[]","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,5,1,145],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-government","category-news","category-the-stump","last_archivepost"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/09\/slider-homepage-coastal-campus.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9722","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9722"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9722\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}