{"id":9885,"date":"2015-09-07T13:55:28","date_gmt":"2015-09-07T20:55:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/69.46.6.243\/?p=9885"},"modified":"2015-09-07T13:55:28","modified_gmt":"2015-09-07T20:55:28","slug":"trump-clear-gop-leader-as-bush-and-walker-plummet-in-iowa-and-new-hampshire-clinton-stumbles-and-sanders-emerges-in-democratic-contest-marist-polls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.thepinetree.net\/?p=9885","title":{"rendered":"Trump Clear GOP Leader, as Bush and Walker Plummet in Iowa and New Hampshire; Clinton Stumbles, and Sanders Emerges in Democratic Contest ~Marist Polls"},"content":{"rendered":"

Poughkeepsie, NY…In the 2016 race for the White House, businessman Donald Trump leads his Republican rivals in the early caucus and primary states of Iowa and New Hampshire.\u00a0 Trump has improved his standing among potential Republican voters in both crucial GOP contests.\u00a0 In Iowa<\/strong><\/a>, Trump, 29%, leads the crowded GOP field, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, 22%, assumes second place.\u00a0 Dr. Carson is the favorite \u201csecond choice\u201d<\/strong><\/a> among potential GOP voters.\u00a0 Trump, 28%, also takes the top spot in New Hampshire<\/strong><\/a> where he outpaces Ohio Governor John Kasich, 12%, and Dr. Carson, 11%, by double digits among the state\u2019s potential Republican electorate.\u00a0 Carson is also the preferred \u201csecond choice\u201d in New Hampshire<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n

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\"\"<\/a>However, the picture is bleaker for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. \u00a0Walker, who topped the Iowa leaderboard in the July NBC News\/Marist Poll<\/a> with 19%, now receives only single-digit support, 5%, as does Bush, 6%, who placed third in that previous survey with 12%.\u00a0 In New Hampshire, support for Bush and Walker has also fallen among the potential GOP electorate.<\/p>\n

On the Democratic side, the race for the presidential nomination has undergone a major upheaval.\u00a0 While former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Sanders by 11 points, 48% to 37%, among the potential Democratic electorate in Iowa<\/a>,<\/strong> Clinton\u2019s lead has narrowed from 29 points in July.\u00a0 The tables have turned for Clinton in New Hampshire<\/strong> <\/a>where Sanders has surpassed her, 49% to 38%.\u00a0 Clinton previously had a 13 point lead over Sanders.<\/p>\n

What would happen if Vice President Joe Biden decides to enter the race?\u00a0 Clinton and Sanders maintain their respective leads in Iowa<\/strong><\/a> and New Hampshire<\/strong><\/a>, and Biden places third.\u00a0 However, in Iowa, Biden has doubled his support, 20% from 10%, since the previous NBC News\/Marist Poll in the state.\u00a0 His support is also up to 16% from 12% in New Hampshire.<\/p>\n

And, looking at the general election, Clinton now loses to Bush in both states, trails Trump in Iowa, and runs evenly with him in New Hampshire.\u00a0 In contrast, Vice President Joe Biden is more competitive against Bush and leads Trump in both states.<\/p>\n

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\u201cThere\u2019s been a massive shakeup in both parties, in both states,\u201d says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.\u00a0 \u201cIt\u2019s been a summer of surprises with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders sitting in the front car of the rollercoaster.\u201d<\/p>\n

Poll points:<\/strong><\/p>\n