GDP Goes Negative in 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Washington, DC…Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2024, real GDP increased 2.4 percent.

Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter

The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and a decrease in government spending. These movements were partly offset by increases in investment, consumer spending, and exports. For more information, refer to the “Technical Notes” below.

Contributions to Percent Change in Real GDP, 1st Quarter 2025

Compared to the fourth quarter, the downturn in real GDP in the first quarter reflected an upturn in imports, a deceleration in consumer spending, and a downturn in government spending that were partly offset by upturns in investment and exports.

Real final sales to private domestic purchasers, the sum of consumer spending and gross private fixed investment, increased 3.0 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 3.6 percent, compared with an increase of 2.4 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 3.5 percent, compared with an increase of 2.6 percent.

Quarter-to-Quarter Change in Prices

Real GDP and Related Measures

(Percent change from Q4 to Q1)

Advance Estimate
Real GDP -0.3
Current-dollar GDP 3.5
Real final sales to private domestic purchasers 3.0
Gross domestic purchases price index 3.4
PCE price index 3.6
PCE price index excluding food and energy 3.5

12 Responses to "GDP Goes Negative in 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)"

  1. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 9:21 am - at 9:21 am

    Chime in cry baby democrats I need a GOOD LAUGH.

    • Anonymous   May 1, 2025 9:31 am - at 9:31 am

      Trump is tanking our country for no reason, lol

  2. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 10:09 am - at 10:09 am

    The import flush is over`, now when items disappear, and empty store shelves appear, why will be the question.
    The answer is China exports to the US were drastically reduced.
    It will be many months before this changes.
    Instead of a rational policy of imports, the don chose to piss off the Chinese, Vance called them peasants, when actually they are light years ahead in all aspects- medicine, research, engineering manufacturing, and the big one- the new clean transportation industry.
    Right now they sell a medium sized sedan car that charges in 5 minutes, and has a 400 mile range.
    They have tens of thousands of high speed passenger rails.

    China holds the cards, the don is stuck in the 1980’s.
    Until the idiotic anti Democracy oligarchy robber barons (8 billionaires in his cabinet) is over, we will only live a great decline in America.
    The don is anti science, education, Democracy, women’s rights, environment.

    100 days, 100 lies.

    Republicans where are you?

    • Anonymous   April 30, 2025 10:24 am - at 10:24 am

      Right Here kicking democrats asses.

  3. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 10:36 am - at 10:36 am

    The don’s rally in Mi yesterday was a copy of one of hitlers rallies.
    He showed a video of the immigrants arrested and sent to El Salvador , the crowd cheered USA, USA, USA, just as in Germany.

    In an interview with the don, he was asked why he believed the photo shopped photo of Kilmar Abrego Garcia’s hand with the M-19 gang tatoo.
    The photo was debunked by all, except the don.
    He kept saying “it was his hand”.
    It was not.
    The don uses the typical big lie as he always does, and the magas believe it.
    This is a example of a cult suspending truth, and rational thought, which the don and his administration uses so much.

    He is lying to you.

    100 days- 100 lies

  4. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 10:50 am - at 10:50 am

    There was 3000 protestors at the don’s rally yesterday.There were less than 3000 supporters at the rally.

    The don had the empty chairs removed to not show empty seats.

  5. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 12:11 pm - at 12:11 pm

    Democrats wish they had a Number 1 man.

  6. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 1:02 pm - at 1:02 pm

    Delusions are the hallmark of the magas.
    Psychiatrists diagnose this as psychosis.

    The WH press meeting with the cabinet looked, sounded like something out of North Korea.
    Never before have we seen the required fawning to dear leader as with the don.

    Must make magas proud, while the 80% in America want this stopped according to the polls.

    Oh, the polls are fake, so was the election of Biden. and the news from CNN, CBS, and the NY Times.

    When will this stop?
    Republicans, it is your duty to step up.
    You swore to our Constitution.

  7. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 1:24 pm - at 1:24 pm

    The founding fathers faced death in writing the declaration of independence.
    Some were killed by King George for treason.
    Still they stood up to the King, and forged the United States.

    Will the Republicans seize the moment, and defend our liberty rights, and our Constitution.

  8. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 1:55 pm - at 1:55 pm

    RAGA! Rake America Great Again!

    Because Donald Trump is a total TOOL!

  9. Anonymous   April 30, 2025 2:21 pm - at 2:21 pm

    That shit hole on live oak dr. needs more than a raking.

    • Anonymous   May 1, 2025 8:10 am - at 8:10 am

      ^^^Hey live oak dr. moron!!! Just because you had a bad experience there apparently, you don’t have to keep bringing that place up. You have issues dude.